‹ SEA vs NE
WEEK 1 · 2026-09-09 · 20:20 ET
SEANE
ARCADIA SCORE
PASS CONFIDENCE
How far to trust the tier table. The confidence tiers are not in outcome order on the measured season — Very High 0.806452 over Elite 0.800000, a gap of 0.006452. A higher tier with a lower hit rate is a failure of the monotone criterion, and it is disclosed here because it was not remediated.
score_tier_stats, pinned to one persisted run via eval_runs · run exit8-persist-0814-tiers-2025
Model win probability 49.5%
WHY NE HAS THE EDGE
No per-family contributions were recorded for this game.
KEY SIGNALS
No signal cleared the reporting threshold for this game.
RISK FACTORS
No risk factor was recorded at this as-of.
DATA QUALITY
LIVE GATE PUBLISHABLE INJURIES FRESHWEATHER AVAILABLEDATA COMPLETE
no features computed for this game at this as_of
PREDICTION HISTORY
- 28 Pass NE v1-logreg-mf-2026.08c