ROUTES
Lowest-risk eligible combinations
LOWEST RISK
Nothing published in this edition falls in this band. The heading stays so an empty band is visible rather than implied.
BALANCED
2-LEG ROUTE · R2
JAX DET
BALANCED
Est. joint probability 50.3%
No correlation detected
- INDEPENDENT PRODUCT
- 50.3%
- CORRELATION HAIRCUT
- +0.0 pts
- CHANCE AT LEAST ONE LEG FAILS
- 49.7%
ARCADIA ROUTE SCORE · 0–1000 INDEX · NOT A PROBABILITY
2-LEG ROUTE · R2
JAX PHI
BALANCED
Est. joint probability 46.7%
No correlation detected
- INDEPENDENT PRODUCT
- 46.7%
- CORRELATION HAIRCUT
- +0.0 pts
- CHANCE AT LEAST ONE LEG FAILS
- 53.3%
ARCADIA ROUTE SCORE · 0–1000 INDEX · NOT A PROBABILITY
2-LEG ROUTE · R2
JAX CHI
BALANCED
Est. joint probability 45.1%
No correlation detected
- INDEPENDENT PRODUCT
- 45.1%
- CORRELATION HAIRCUT
- +0.0 pts
- CHANCE AT LEAST ONE LEG FAILS
- 54.9%
ARCADIA ROUTE SCORE · 0–1000 INDEX · NOT A PROBABILITY
HIGHER UPSIDE
3-LEG ROUTE · R3
JAX DET PHI
HIGHER UPSIDE
Est. joint probability 31.3%
No correlation detected
- INDEPENDENT PRODUCT
- 31.3%
- CORRELATION HAIRCUT
- +0.0 pts
- CHANCE AT LEAST ONE LEG FAILS
- 68.7%
ARCADIA ROUTE SCORE · 0–1000 INDEX · NOT A PROBABILITY
2-LEG ROUTE
LAC JAX
NOT ELIGIBLE
2026_01_ARI_LAC is tier Pass
2-LEG ROUTE
PIT JAX
NOT ELIGIBLE
2026_01_ATL_PIT is tier Pass
2-LEG ROUTE
BAL CHI
NOT ELIGIBLE
combined probability 0.372 is below the 0.45 floor for 2 legs
3-LEG ROUTE
BAL CHI JAX
NOT ELIGIBLE
combined probability 0.2649 is below the 0.3 floor for 3 legs
3-LEG ROUTE
BAL CHI DET
NOT ELIGIBLE
combined probability 0.2369 is below the 0.3 floor for 3 legs
3-LEG ROUTE
BAL CHI PHI
NOT ELIGIBLE
combined probability 0.2319 is below the 0.3 floor for 3 legs
2-LEG ROUTE
BAL JAX
NOT ELIGIBLE
combined probability 0.4399 is below the 0.45 floor for 2 legs
3-LEG ROUTE
BAL JAX DET
NOT ELIGIBLE
combined probability 0.2949 is below the 0.3 floor for 3 legs
2-LEG ROUTE
BAL DET
NOT ELIGIBLE
combined probability 0.4141 is below the 0.45 floor for 2 legs
2-LEG ROUTE
BAL PHI
NOT ELIGIBLE
combined probability 0.3851 is below the 0.45 floor for 2 legs
2-LEG ROUTE
BUF JAX
NOT ELIGIBLE
2026_01_BUF_HOU is tier Pass
2-LEG ROUTE
CHI DET
NOT ELIGIBLE
combined probability 0.3835 is below the 0.45 floor for 2 legs
2-LEG ROUTE
CHI PHI
NOT ELIGIBLE
combined probability 0.3754 is below the 0.45 floor for 2 legs
2-LEG ROUTE
JAX DAL
NOT ELIGIBLE
2026_01_DAL_NYG is tier Pass
2-LEG ROUTE
JAX KC
NOT ELIGIBLE
2026_01_DEN_KC is tier Pass
2-LEG ROUTE
JAX GB
NOT ELIGIBLE
2026_01_GB_MIN is tier Pass
2-LEG ROUTE
JAX MIA
NOT ELIGIBLE
2026_01_MIA_LV is tier Pass
2-LEG ROUTE
JAX TEN
NOT ELIGIBLE
2026_01_NYJ_TEN is tier Pass
2-LEG ROUTE
JAX CIN
NOT ELIGIBLE
2026_01_TB_CIN is tier Pass
2-LEG ROUTE
DET PHI
NOT ELIGIBLE
combined probability 0.4179 is below the 0.45 floor for 2 legs